Let us take the President at his word, because taking powerful men at their word is the fastest route to their word taking them somewhere they did not intend to go.

Iran, we are told, has not agreed to a deal because it is “strong” and “proud.” Also, it has “no choice” but to agree. These two facts are being offered to us as a single coherent thought, which is impressive in the same way that a square circle is impressive — you have to admire the ambition before you point out the geometry.

Historically, “strong and proud” has been a description of parties who do, in fact, have choices. The whole point of being strong is that you have options. The whole point of being proud is that you exercise them. A nation with no choice is, by most working definitions, neither of those things — it is a nation with no choice, which is a significantly less flattering description, and which the President could have led with if efficiency were the goal.

What we appear to have here is a negotiating framework in which the other side's refusal to sign is itself evidence that they will sign, and their strength is itself proof of their weakness, and their pride is the thing that will eventually break their pride. This is not diplomacy. This is the horoscope column explaining that a Scorpio's secretive nature means they secretly want to tell you everything.

To be clear: the man holding the sanctions, the tariffs, the executive orders, and the military posture of the United States government has announced that his counterparty is winning, which is why his counterparty will lose. The gavel is in his hand. He swung it. And the explanation for why nothing cracked yet is that the table is very, very proud.

Strong and proud, no choice. The only thing left to determine is whether Iran will eventually agree to the deal because it is strong, or despite being strong, or because being strong turned out to mean something different once the invoice arrived. The President, fortunately, has assured us the answer is yes.