David Ellison's proposed merger of Paramount Global and Warner Bros. Discovery is now in the hands of European antitrust regulators, and the timeline math is tight enough that the UK Competition and Markets Authority has become the operative variable in whether the deal closes by September.

The CMA has not confirmed a Phase 1 clearance date. Phase 2 referrals, which carry their own multi-month clock, remain a live possibility under British competition rules.

EU proceedings are running on a parallel but distinct track. Neither jurisdiction has indicated it will accelerate its review to accommodate Ellison's stated deadline.

Skydance Media, the Ellison vehicle at the center of the Paramount acquisition, completed its U.S. regulatory process earlier in the cycle. That leg of the deal is not the current bottleneck.

Warner Bros. Discovery, meanwhile, carries roughly $38 billion in long-term debt on its balance sheet as of its most recent public filing — a figure that has featured in analyst commentary about the combined entity's financing structure.

The September target was set when the deal was announced. Nobody mentioned what happens to it if Whitehall takes until October.