U.S. airlines paid nearly $6.5 billion in jet fuel costs in April, a 26 percent increase from the prior month and a 78 percent increase from the same period one year ago. The war with Iran, now past the 100-day mark, is the identified driver.

The year-on-year figure is not a projection. It is the April invoice. Carriers that locked in hedging contracts before hostilities began are drawing down those positions. Carriers that did not are absorbing spot prices directly.

The $6.5 billion figure represents fuel expenditure only. It does not include rerouting costs, crew overtime for extended flight paths, or insurance premium adjustments for overflights of affected airspace. Those numbers are not yet consolidated in public reporting.

At current consumption rates, the annualized fuel cost differential — relative to pre-war baselines — is approximately $50 billion across the U.S. carrier sector. That figure will be revised as the conflict duration extends. The revision will be upward.